Key Takeaways Polymarket gives a 60% probability Claude Mythos launches publicly by end of June 9, with $42,212 in volume. Anthropic’s Project Glasswing found 10,000+ critical vulnerabilities; a public Mythos release would add guardrails. Kalshi’s […]
Kalshi named Sportradar its official data and odds provider across MLB, NHL, MLS and the UFC. Kalshi gains two Sportradar integrity tools (UFDS AI and the Integrity Exchange) to flag suspicious trades. About 11 states […]
Key Takeaways CME’s Fedwatch tool shows a 98.2% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%–3.75% on June 17, 2026. Kevin Warsh, confirmed 54-45 and sworn in May 22, leads his first FOMC meeting this month. […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi hit $2B in World Cup bets before June 11, next disrupting old sportsbooks. A SEON survey shows 19% of US adults favor prediction platforms, squeezing crypto betting apps. Minnesota and […]
Chicago-based trading giant DRW has spent decades profiting from mismatches between different asset classes, and now it’s building a dedicated prediction market desk targeting platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. The move is one of […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket’s “Imitators” dossier logs roughly a dozen incidents it says show Kalshi copying its launches. Kalshi overtook Polymarket in April 2026 with $5.42B in taker volume to Polymarket’s $1.99B, per Dune. Polymarket tinted […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket CMO Matthew Modabber sent $2.5M+ via personal PayPal to 800+ people in 14 months, per POLITICO. At least 20 paid creators posted about Polymarket 490+ times on X with no disclosure, per […]
After probing Rain Protocol, ZachXBT cut Kraken from S-tier to B-tier over allegedly manipulated token listings. Blockchain detective ZachXBT is warning traders to steer clear of Rain Protocol after claiming to have uncovered a […]
Key Takeaways Peer-to-peer sports exchange Pred launched public access on Base to capture the 2026 FIFA World Cup volume. CEO Amit Mahensaria notes Pred circumvents standard sportsbook biases via 200ms onchain USDC settlement. Post-tournament, Pred […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket’s June bitcoin market, with $6.22M in volume, prices a 62% chance BTC drops to $60,000 or below. Kalshi’s $60K-vs-$100K contract gives bitcoin an 83% probability of hitting $60K first before year-end 2026. […]
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