XRP Takes About 1,400 Days to Reach a New Cycle Peak

Market data indicates that XRP takes about 1,400 days to reach a new cycle peak.

XRP has been in a correction phase for the past 12 months since reaching its cycle high of $3.6 in July 2025. While market participants await a recovery, historical cycle data suggests the correction may not be finished.

Notably, XRP’s three completed market cycles show that the asset has taken an average of 1,414 days to move from one cycle peak to the next after declining from the previous high. 

With only 360 days having passed since the July 2025 peak, the data points to a possible cycle bottom forming around Q4 2026, while a new cycle high could arrive between May and August 2029 if the historical pattern continues.

Past XRP Cycles Show a Similar Structure

XRP’s first major cycle peaked on Dec. 5, 2013, when the price reached $0.0614 after rising 2,017% from the $0.0029 low recorded in August 2013. However, the rally was followed by a sharp decline, and XRP fell to about $0.0028 in July 2014, a drop of roughly 95.4%.

XRP later recovered and reached a new cycle high of $3.31 on Jan. 4, 2017. Essentially, this first peak-to-peak cycle lasted 1,125 days.

The second cycle followed a similar path but lasted longer. After peaking at $3.31 in January 2017, XRP declined for about 27 months before finding a bottom near $0.11 in March 2020 during the COVID-related market crash. 

This move represented a decline of about 96.7%. XRP later recovered and reached $1.96 on April 14, 2021, completing a 1,561-day cycle.

Meanwhile, following the April 2021 peak of $1.96, XRP dropped to around $0.29 in June 2022, a decline of about 85.2% over roughly 14 months. The recovery that followed pushed XRP to $3.60 on July 18, 2025, exactly 1,556 days after the April 2021 peak.

Averaging all three completed cycles produces a mean cycle length of 1,414 days, which points to a potential new peak in June 2029 from the July 2025 high. This indicates that XRP could find its next cycle top between May and August 2029.

The Bottom May Not Have Formed Yet

In addition, historical data provides clues about where XRP could find its next long-term bottom. Previous cycles took an average of 15 months to complete the bottoming process after each peak. If this pattern repeats, XRP could continue correcting through Q4 2026 before establishing a more durable floor.

Also, the size of past corrections supports the possibility. Specifically, XRP experienced drawdowns of 95.4%, 96.7%, and 85.2% in its three completed cycles, averaging roughly 92%.

Applying similar declines to the $3.60 peak produces several downside targets. A decline matching the deepest historical corrections would place XRP near $0.29, which is also the June 2022 cycle low. 

A milder correction similar to the third cycle would point to around $0.53. In addition, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the move from $0.29 to $3.60 sits at $1.00.

Based on those levels, the most likely range for a long-term bottom appears to be between $0.29 and $1.00, with the $0.53 to $0.67 zone representing a middle-ground scenario.

Key Resistance Levels

Once XRP completes its correction, several resistance levels could determine the next recovery phase.

The first major level is $1.55, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the full move from $0.29 to $3.60. A sustained push above that level would confirm that XRP has entered a broader recovery.

Above that, the $1.95 to $1.96 area carries additional importance because it matches both the April 14, 2021 cycle peak and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Many previous buyers may look to exit positions around that zone.

The next major resistance stands at $3.31, the cycle high recorded in January 2017. After that, XRP would need to reclaim its $3.60 all-time high before confirming a new cycle breakout.