XRP is attempting a modest comeback, crawling back into the $1.14–$1.16 area after last week’s heavy selloff. But this bounce already feels fragile, with thinning volume and mixed signals keeping traders on high alert.
8-Year Pattern May Be Repeating
Top analyst Ali Charts just highlighted something interesting: XRP has been repeating the same macro pattern for the past 8 years — and it might be setting up to do it again.
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He’s closely watching the $0.90 territory as a potential long-term buying zone if the current move plays out like previous cycles.
Derivatives Tell a Different Story
Leverage is cooling off fast. Open interest on Bybit dropped a sharp 36% as traders unwound risk instead of piling into the bounce. This kind of de-leveraging often signals the market is flushing out weak hands rather than building conviction.
Key Support Still Under Pressure
Right now, XRP traders are laser-focused on the $1.03 price zone and the psychologically important $1.00 level. A decisive break below these areas could accelerate liquidations and open the door to deeper downside, as mentioned in the XRP price analysis by Ali Martinez.
On the flip side, a strong hold here would support the idea that last week’s flush cleared out weak hands. The 4-hour XRP price chart hints at $1.25 being the next psychological threshold, yet the OG altcoin is struggling to clear $1.15 on Tuesday evening, according to TradingView.
Momentum indicators are mixed. RSI is creeping out of oversold territory, but without a clear pickup in buying volume, rebounds can stall quickly and turn into another leg down. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is still down, while the Bull Bear Power (BBP) meter shows that XRP’s bulls can’t catch a break since bears took over in mid September, 2025.
XRP Volume Serves The Real Test
The most consistent red flag right now is participation — volume has been fading on the way up. In a market still driven heavily by leverage, this makes the current bounce vulnerable to quick reversals.
XRP’s rebound is real for the moment, but it’s hanging by a thread. While the 8-year pattern repeat gives long-term bulls some hope — especially around the $0.90 zone — the near-term picture remains cautious.
Support around $1.03–$1.00 is now the critical battleground. Hold here and the bulls might get breathing room. Break it cleanly, and the downside risk becomes much more serious.
The market is demanding proof — and right now, conviction is still in short supply.
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