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Ahmed Barakat
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A quiet tension settled across global markets after the Federal Reserve delivered its latest policy decision. The FOMC held interest rates steady, but investors quickly realized the pause carried a distinctly hawkish tone. Treasury yields climbed, equities split direction, and Bitcoin, Ethereum, and crypto were left searching for the market’s next catalyst.
Bitcoin ETFs finally returned to net inflows, offering a welcome sign of demand, while Ethereum continued losing its dominance as capital rotated back to Bitcoin. Meanwhile, fresh security incidents and political headlines reminded investors that crypto never sleeps.
Hawkish FOMC Hold Keeps Markets on Edge
The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% in a narrow 9-3 vote on July 29. Three regional Fed presidents, Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan, favored another 25 basis point hike, marking the first time since 2016 that three hawkish officials dissented together. Policymakers cited persistent inflation around 4.1% alongside resilient economic growth, reinforcing expectations that rates could stay elevated longer.
Bitcoin initially welcomed the decision, jumping from $63,700 to nearly $64,700 before giving back most of the gains as traders digested the hawkish language. It later stabilized around $64,000, while Ethereum traded near $1,900 with little conviction. Traditional markets delivered a mixed performance, with the Nasdaq advancing as the Dow weakened, leaving crypto largely range-bound.
The uncertainty sparked heavy liquidations, erasing between $280 million and $316 million across nearly 90,000 to 96,000 traders. Both long and short positions were caught in the crossfire, highlighting widespread indecision. At the same time, US publicly held debt surpassed 100% of GDP for the first time since World War II, adding another layer of macro concern for investors.
Politics also entered the spotlight. Senator Cynthia Lummis briefly lost control of her verified X account after hackers promoted a fake Solana meme coin, $USA Token, through a pump.fun link. The posts disappeared within minutes, but the incident arrived as lawmakers continued negotiations over the CLARITY Act ahead of the August recess, with ethics provisions and crypto-related amendments still under debate.
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Bitcoin Holds Firm as ETF Flows Reverse
Before the Fed announcement, Bitcoin had already recovered from weekly lows near $62,400 following weakness in South Korean equity markets. Although the post-decision rally faded, the cryptocurrency continued defending the psychological $64,000 level while finding support above $63,500. Even so, Bitcoin remains roughly 3% to 4% below recent highs near $66,000 as July consolidation continues after last year’s rally.
Institutional demand offered an encouraging signal. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $32.1 million in net inflows on July 29, led by IBIT, ending a multi-day streak of outflows. Ethereum ETFs, however, posted roughly $18.65 million in net outflows, while Solana ETFs attracted around $19 million and XRP products added approximately $0.58 million. The divergence reinforced the ongoing rotation across digital assets and contributed to Ethereum’s declining market dominance.
Elsewhere, crypto markets continued navigating operational risks. Ostium disclosed a $24 million off-chain breach while confirming its smart contracts remained uncompromised. Hyperliquid welcomed its first Japanese corporate buyer despite reports of reduced US fund exposure, and Luno announced another round of job cuts as restructuring efforts continued across the industry.
Despite elevated yields, political uncertainty, and mixed macro signals, Bitcoin has shown notable resilience. The defense of the $64,000 level, improving ETF demand, and the absence of panic selling suggest buyers remain active beneath the surface. If institutional inflows continue building and policy expectations stabilize, Bitcoin could be positioning itself for its next decisive move.
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