Is Chainlink a Good Buy at Current Prices?

Blockonomics
Paxful


Chainlink trades at 8.78 USD, roughly 67 per cent below the 12-month high of 26.75 USD set on 23 August 2025, and about 22 per cent above the 12-month low of 7.19 USD from 1 July 2026. LINK has recovered almost 10 per cent over the past 30 days and remains the fifteenth-largest cryptocurrency by market value at 6.57 billion USD. Hence the question: is Chainlink a good buy at current prices, or is the market pricing the oracle network correctly after a year of heavy losses?

The price data in this article was collected by cryptoticker.io on 12 August 2026. Market data comes from CoinMarketCap. We used 365 daily closing prices up to and including 11 August 2026 and calculated the moving averages, the relative strength index and the 12-month extremes ourselves, using the standard formulas: exponential smoothing for the averages and Wilder’s method for the RSI.

At 8.78 USD, Chainlink sits in the middle of the range that has contained the market since early summer. The lower boundary is the 12-month low of 7.19 USD from 1 July 2026, which held on the first test and has not been challenged since. Above the current price, the 200-day exponential moving average at 10.01 USD marks the first significant hurdle. Between those levels lies the zone in which LINK has spent most of the past ten weeks.

Line chart: Chainlink price over the past 365 days with its 200-day and 50-day averages
Chainlink price and moving averages, calculated by us from CoinGecko daily closing prices

The 50-day exponential moving average at 8.25 USD is the closest reference point. Chainlink reclaimed it during the July recovery and has traded above it since, which is why the shorter average now curves upwards while the longer one still points down. The gap between the two averages, roughly 18 per cent, measures how much ground the recovery would still have to cover before the trend structure changes.

Phemex

Three levels therefore frame any decision at current prices: 7.19 USD as the floor of the range, 8.25 USD as the short-term average separating recovery from relapse, and 10.01 USD as the line that has capped every advance since spring. The distance to the 12-month high of 26.75 USD is a reminder of scale rather than a near-term target.

Over twelve months Chainlink has lost 58.4 per cent, measured against the close of 21.11 USD on 12 August 2025. Over 90 days the loss narrows to 14.0 per cent, and over 30 days the figure turns positive at 9.9 per cent. The sequence describes a decline that has slowed, not one that has reversed.

Scale: position of the Chainlink price between its 12-month low and high with both averages
The Chainlink price relative to its 12-month low, high and both moving averages

A downtrend is generally considered broken when a market stops setting lower highs and reclaims its longer-term average. Chainlink has met the first condition since July: the low of 7.19 USD was not undercut, and each subsequent pullback has ended higher. The second remains unmet. While the price trades below the 200-day average of 10.01 USD, the recovery from 7.19 USD reads as a move within a falling market.

The trend is therefore interrupted. That distinction defines what would have to happen for the picture to change: a weekly close above 10.01 USD would turn the interruption into a break, while a close below 7.19 USD would confirm that the summer stabilisation was a pause in a continuing decline.

Crypto exchange check: which platform comes out on top? Get the most out of your investmentCrypto exchange check: which platform comes out on top? Get the most out of your investment

What RSI and moving averages mean for a Chainlink entry

The 14-day relative strength index stands at 51.4, close to the neutral mark of 50 and well away from both the oversold threshold of 30 and the overbought threshold of 70. For an entry decision the reading offers neither the discount of a washed-out market nor the warning of an overheated one. Buyers at 8.78 USD are paying a price that momentum indicators describe as fair rather than cheap.

The moving averages are more layered. The 50-day exponential average at 8.25 USD lies below the current price, the 200-day at 10.01 USD above it. The simple averages sit at 8.05 USD over 50 days and 8.87 USD over 200 days; the gap to the exponential figure shows how much weight last autumn’s losses still carry.

A market positioned between its two main averages is undecided by construction. The technical picture supplies no timing signal, only boundaries: below 8.25 USD the short-term recovery is in question, above 10.01 USD the longer-term structure would have to be reassessed.

Chainlink turned over 418.4 million USD in the past 24 hours, roughly double the 30-day average of 210.2 million USD, alongside a 5.2 per cent daily gain and an 8.2 per cent advance over the week. Rising volume on rising prices distinguishes genuine demand from a drift higher on thin books.

The longer averages temper that observation. Over 90 days Chainlink averaged 294.6 million USD in daily turnover, and over the full year 672.0 million USD. Activity runs well below the level of a year ago, when the price was near its high and speculative interest was correspondingly greater.

Read together, the figures support the case that the July low attracted real buyers rather than a technical bounce, while cautioning against extrapolating one active day into a trend. At 210.2 million USD, the 30-day average describes a market that has thinned considerably over the year.

Chainlink’s supply is capped at one billion LINK, of which 748.1 million are in circulation, just under 75 per cent. The remainder is released over time to fund node operators and ecosystem growth, so the circulating figure rises gradually. The ceiling is fixed, but the distribution schedule is administered rather than algorithmically final.

Bar chart: Chainlink circulating supply relative to its maximum issuance
Chainlink supply structure according to CoinMarketCap data

The network’s function is to deliver external data to smart contracts. Its price feeds serve as reference oracles for a large share of decentralised lending and derivatives protocols, and the cross-chain interoperability protocol extends that role to transfers between blockchains. This is infrastructure demand rather than retail demand, which historically makes it steadier than sentiment but slower to translate into price.

On regulation, the European framework for crypto-asset markets has been in force since 2024 and is supervised by the European Securities and Markets Authority. It brings licensing requirements for exchanges and custodians rather than rules aimed at individual tokens, so the effect for LINK holders in Europe is a more regulated set of venues.

First, the range has held. The low of 7.19 USD was tested once and has not been revisited in six weeks, and the price now sits 22 per cent above it. A defined floor allows a position to be sized against a specific invalidation level.

Second, the discount to the longer-term average is substantial. At 8.78 USD, Chainlink trades 12 per cent below its 200-day exponential average of 10.01 USD. Investors who expect the network’s role as an oracle provider to persist are buying below the market’s average price of the past year.

Third, sentiment is depressed. The CoinMarketCap fear and greed index reads 37, in the fear zone, while volume has picked up against the 30-day average. Weak sentiment with improving participation has historically been a more favourable starting point than the reverse, though it says nothing about timing.

Holding Chainlink for longer? Then custody needs settling. Our comparison shows the hardware wallets we recommendHolding Chainlink for longer? Then custody needs settling. Our comparison shows the hardware wallets we recommend

First, the trend has not turned. A loss of 58.4 per cent over twelve months and a price 67 per cent below the high of 26.75 USD describe a market in which every recovery so far has failed. Until 10.01 USD is reclaimed, buying at 8.78 USD means buying into a falling structure.

Bar chart: 90-day price change of the largest crypto assets, Chainlink highlighted
Chainlink compared with the other large crypto assets over 90 days

Second, liquidity has thinned. Daily turnover averaged 672.0 million USD over the year but only 210.2 million USD over the past 30 days. Thinner books amplify moves in both directions and make larger positions harder to exit at the quoted price.

Third, the entry offers no technical edge. With the RSI at 51.4 and the price wedged between the 50-day average of 8.25 USD and the 200-day average of 10.01 USD, there is no oversold discount on offer. Anyone buying now is expressing a view about the network rather than acting on a chart signal.

LINK is listed on all major regulated European exchanges, so the decision is usually about fees and custody rather than availability. Spot fees typically range from about 0.1 per cent on volume-tiered venues to well over 1 per cent on convenience-oriented brokers, and the spread matters as much as the headline fee. Our exchange comparison sets the cost structures side by side, and the overview of regulated exchanges narrows the field to licensed venues.

On individual providers, our Bitpanda review, our Kraken review and our Bitvavo review cover fees, deposit methods and withdrawal conditions. Withdrawal terms deserve attention if you intend to move LINK off the exchange, because network fees and minimum amounts vary considerably.

Custody is the second decision. Coins left on an exchange remain in that platform’s control, which is convenient for trading and a counterparty risk for holding. A hardware wallet moves the keys into your own hands at the cost of responsibility for the recovery phrase; our hardware wallet comparison covers the current devices. LINK can also be staked for a yield in return for a lock-up, and the staking platform comparison shows the terms. Conditions change, so check them with the provider before every purchase.

For the short term, the technical picture argues for patience rather than urgency. At 8.78 USD, with the RSI at 51.4 and no clear edge in either direction, a buyer is entering the middle of a range. The levels that would resolve the question are known: a sustained move above the 200-day average of 10.01 USD would signal that the market has stopped selling rallies, while a drop below 8.25 USD would put the July recovery in question and a close below 7.19 USD would end it.

For the long term, the question is whether demand for oracle infrastructure grows faster than the remaining 25 per cent of supply enters circulation. Chainlink’s price feeds and cross-chain protocol are used across decentralised finance, and that usage has held up better than the token price. An investor who expects the gap to close is buying an established network 67 per cent below its 12-month high. One who expects token value to stay loosely coupled from usage has no reason to act at 8.78 USD rather than at 7.19 USD.

The assumption behind the constructive case is that the low of 7.19 USD marked the end of the decline. It should be treated as refuted if Chainlink closes a week below that level, or if the price fails a third time at the 200-day average while the 30-day volume average stays under 210.2 million USD. Both are observable conditions rather than matters of opinion. Our Chainlink price prediction follows the same levels as they develop.

  1. Chainlink trades at 8.78 USD between its 50-day average of 8.25 USD and its 200-day average of 10.01 USD, 22 per cent above the 12-month low of 7.19 USD and 67 per cent below the high of 26.75 USD. The downtrend has slowed without breaking. Ongoing analysis is in our Chainlink price prediction.
  2. The RSI of 51.4 gives no entry signal, and 30-day volume of 210.2 million USD against a yearly average of 672.0 million USD shows a thinner market. That argues for position sizes that survive a retest of 7.19 USD. Fees are compared in our exchange comparison.
  3. The structural case rests on a fixed cap of one billion LINK with 748.1 million in circulation and on oracle demand that has held up better than the price. If you buy, decide on custody at the same time. Our hardware wallet comparison covers the options.

Disclosure: Some of the providers mentioned in this article work with us through partner programmes. This has no influence on the price analysis or the assessment of the chart situation; the price data comes from a public market data source and can be verified there.

(As of 12 August 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices, fees and conditions change; check them with the provider before every purchase. Crypto assets are subject to high price volatility, and a total loss is possible.)

Transparency note: This article was produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by our editorial team before publication. All figures and claims were checked against the primary sources linked in the text. The feature image was generated with AI.



Source link

Changelly

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.


*