Kalshi Defends Prediction Markets as NY Seeks $36B Over Alleged Illegal Betting

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On Monday, August 3, 2026, Crypto Economy reported that Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, defended his company’s prediction market model against a lawsuit filed by New York authorities.

The lawsuit, initiated in late July, alleges that Kalshi’s event contracts constitute illegal gambling operations. Mansour drew parallels between Kalshi’s structure and established entities like Nasdaq, Uber, and Airbnb to counter these claims.

The New York State Attorney General’s Office, led by Letitia James, formalized the suit, asserting that Kalshi’s contracts are equivalent to unauthorized gambling. The state is seeking approximately $36 billion in compensatory damages. Kalshi, valued at $22 billion, positions itself as a high-value fintech company, and Mansour emphasized that the lawsuit impacts all event-based contracts, not just those related to sports.

Mansour explained that Kalshi operates similarly to the Nasdaq stock exchange by charging a 1% transaction fee. He clarified that Kalshi facilitates the exchange of opposing positions between users, differentiating it from traditional sportsbooks that directly assume risk against customers.

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Despite the company’s promotion of derivatives based on economic and electoral variables, over 70% of the platform’s traded volume is linked to sports competition outcomes. This trend has prompted other entertainment sector firms, such as DraftKings, to launch their own segments for future event contracts.

To contextualize the legal challenge, Mansour referenced past disputes involving companies like Uber and Airbnb, suggesting that Kalshi’s situation reflects traditional industry resistance to disruptive technologies. He noted that established industries often resort to litigation when faced with emerging technologies that gain market share. Mansour posited that New York’s legal action might be influenced by pressure from casino and physical sportsbook interest groups.

Regarding user financial performance, Mansour claimed that New York residents generated over $200 million in cumulative profits on Kalshi during the first seven months of 2026. He contrasted this with estimated losses of a similar amount for bettors using conventional sportsbooks in the same state during the same period.

Internally, Kalshi had submitted a formal tax proposal to New York authorities, suggesting that regulating the activity could generate nearly $10 billion USD in tax revenue for the state over five years. However, this proposal reportedly received no official response.

The legal dispute is expected to continue in U.S. courts, with proceedings likely to define jurisdictional boundaries between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and individual state gambling commissions.

Source: Crypto Economy



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