Key Takeaways CME’s Fedwatch tool puts a Sept. 16 federal funds rate (FFR) hike at 57%, versus just 39.9% on Aug. 21. Polymarket and Kalshi price a Fed hold at 52%, exposing a razor-thin September […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket US withdrew NFL participation filings on Aug. 26, a day after certifying them. The same day, it certified bitcoin, ether, and solana price contracts as swaps. Its compliance analysis was filed under […]
Polymarket faces another regulatory setback as South Korea orders access blocked. South Korea has decided to block domestic access to Polymarket after authorities determined that its services facilitate activities considered illegal gambling under local […]
Key Takeaways JPMorgan cut banking ties with Polymarket in October due to regulatory concerns over unregistered trading. Despite the debanking, Polymarket retains operational links with JPMorgan, which may underwrite its IPO. The DOJ is now […]
Kalshi and Polymarket are offering bets on winners, spreads, totals, and player stats, but Baltimore says they lack the required licenses. Baltimore has taken legal action against prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket bettors give bitcoin 68% odds of hitting $70,000 before 2026 ends. Kalshi prices bitcoin’s shot at $100,000 before January 2027 at just 12%. Polymarket sees 81% odds bitcoin hits $62,500 in August, […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket prices the CLARITY Act at 21% to become law by Dec. 31. Galaxy Research previously cut its 2026 passage estimate from 50% to 30%. The Senate filed a cloture motion Aug. 8 […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket gives a September Fed hold 63% odds after more than $20.3 million traded. Kalshi prices a Fed hold at 65%, while CME Fedwatch puts the probability at 55.6%. CME’s Fedwatch tool still […]
The authors of the study examined roughly two months of five-minute bitcoin contracts. They found unusually large orders on Binance in the final seconds before settlement, followed by rapid price reversals in bitcoin. The paper […]
Blockchain-based prediction markets platform Polymarket is looking to raise fresh capital at a $20 billion valuation, Bloomberg reported Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter. According to the person, the company closed a funding round […]
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