Key Takeaways Polymarket’s $4.28B World Cup market and Kalshi’s $1.29B market both favor Spain at 59%. Messi leads Golden Boot odds at 57% on Polymarket and 56% on Kalshi ahead of Sunday’s final. Spain and […]
Polymarket traders are pricing in a high probability that the Federal Reserve holds rates steady at its July meeting, with odds rising to 94% after softer inflation data improved the market’s macro mood. That matters […]
Prediction markets have stopped being a niche crypto experiment for some time now, and they’ve ventured well into the mainstream. They’re even cited in political debates, news channels, and just about everywhere on social media. […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket’s CLARITY Act contract rebounded to 35% on July 17 from a record-low 24% on July 13. The market sat near 74% in May before Democratic objections to Trump ethics rules sank the […]
Stanford researchers found signs of manipulation in Polymarket’s five-minute Bitcoin markets. Suspected traders earned an estimated $8.2 million from the activity. Longer settlements and average-price methods could reduce manipulation risks. Prediction markets keep drawing more […]
Key Takeaways Gabriel Perez, Trump’s teleprompter operator since 2016, allegedly faces a CFTC probe over $100,000 in Kalshi bets. Kalshi reportedly flagged the trades in March 2026 and referred the case to the CFTC, ABC […]
Key Takeaways Stanford and SMU researchers found 821 traders took $8.2 million from Polymarket’s 5-minute bitcoin bets. Net order flow on Binance jumped about 50% in the final 10 seconds before settlement, the study found. […]
Blockchain.com Partners With Polymarket To Integrate On-Chain Prediction Markets is the kind of story that can look simple at first glance, but it carries more weight once you place it inside the week’s broader crypto […]
Key Takeaways 100 Thieves beat NRG 3-1 as the EWC awarded Valorant’s winner $600,000. Polymarket’s top 20 esports markets held $402,600 in volume and $1.39 million in liquidity. Kalshi priced T1 at 88% and Hanwha […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi processed over $5.81B in volume, signaling a shift in crypto yields. France holds a 39% win probability, attracting heavy whale hedging across the ecosystem. Activity on Kalshi will accelerate through […]
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