Worldcoin (WLD) costs around $0.59 on the morning of Sunday, October 4, 2026 (according to CoinGecko). That is a gain of around 50 percent in 30 days and of just under 13 percent in a week. The token is trending on CoinGecko, and searches for the worldcoin price are picking up. For the worldcoin forecast, what is striking is what is missing: a piece of news that explains the rise.
A rally without a trigger
Neither Worldcoin nor the World Foundation nor the developer company Tools for Humanity published an announcement during the days of the rise that could count as a trigger, Finwire notes. The data instead show a turn in the exchange flows: after three days in which holders withdrew WLD from exchanges, a net total of around 911,000 WLD flowed back onto trading venues on October 3. That fits investors looking to take profits better than it fits new buyers.
On top of that comes a warning about trading volume. According to the same analysis, a large part of the reported turnover looks artificial, and Finwire estimates the actual 24-hour volume at around $44 million instead of the reported $649 million. A price that rises on thin genuine trading can fall back just as quickly.
Worldcoin price: the levels on the chart
The one-year chart puts the rise in perspective. A year ago WLD cost considerably more; over twelve months the token is down around 55 percent, and it is around 95 percent below the record high of $11.74 from March 2024 (CoinGecko). The price does, however, sit above the 50-day moving average (around $0.44) and the 200-day moving average (around $0.43), both calculated from CoinMarketCap daily closing prices.
Around $0.62 is the level on the upside, the high of the 24 hours to Sunday morning. The closing price of $0.604 on October 2 was the highest for at least a month.
Around $0.55 and $0.48 are the levels on the downside. WLD closed at $0.545 on September 26, and between $0.48 and $0.49 on September 27 and 28, when the price gave way for a time.
Around $0.44, where the two average lines run close together, is the zone from which the rise in mid-September started. On September 14, WLD still closed at $0.362.
What the supply means for the price
Of a maximum of 10 billion WLD, around 3.8 billion are in circulation (CoinGecko). The remainder is released gradually, among others to employees and investors. Every new tranche is additional supply that a price rise first has to absorb. That explains part of the long downtrend since 2024.
What applies to the iris scan in Germany
Worldcoin ties the token to World ID, a proof that a human being stands behind an account. For that, the iris is scanned with a device called the Orb. The Bavarian data protection authority ruled in December 2024 that Worldcoin must delete iris codes from the period July 24, 2023 to December 13, 2024, and it requires explicit consent going forward; the decision is published by the European Data Protection Board. Worldcoin has appealed against it.
For investors that means: anyone who only wants to buy WLD needs no iris scan, as the token is tradable on large exchanges; our crypto exchange comparison compares fees and authorisation. Anyone who does want to go through the scan should read carefully beforehand what the data are used for.
Worldcoin: What to take away
Three points sum up the situation. First, the rise of around 50 percent has no known trigger, and the exchange flows point to profit taking. Second, a large part of the reported trading looks artificial, so the swings can be wide in both directions. Third, around six tenths of the possible WLD supply is not yet in circulation, and new supply weighs on the price.
Gains on WLD held for less than a year are taxable on sale in Germany once the exemption threshold of €1,000 a year is exceeded. Crypto assets fluctuate heavily, and a total loss is possible. This article puts price data and news in context; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell worldcoin.
Be the first to comment